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The Water Cooler
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April 2021 CPI
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<blockquote data-quote="SlugSlinger" data-source="post: 3575295" data-attributes="member: 7248"><p>The seasonal adjustments would come in to play when comparing different seasonal changes. Like comparing May retail numbers to numbers around Christmas. There are known seasonal changes based on historical trending. "Seasonal adjustment is a statistical technique that attempts to measure and remove the influences of predictable seasonal patterns to reveal change from month to month."</p><p></p><p>Comparing year over year numbers, would not be impacted by trended seasonal adjustments. However, monthly trended changes would be impacted by seasonal changes. </p><p></p><p>This looks at March 2021 to April 2021 changes and month over month changes for 2021. The March 2021 to April 2021 unadjusted vs seasonally adjusted changes are similar for the most part. Compare column 6 with column 9. This also points out that the adjusted changes are ramping up, except for energy. Wait until we see May's CPI numbers. Those may blow us out of the water.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]205423[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="SlugSlinger, post: 3575295, member: 7248"] The seasonal adjustments would come in to play when comparing different seasonal changes. Like comparing May retail numbers to numbers around Christmas. There are known seasonal changes based on historical trending. "Seasonal adjustment is a statistical technique that attempts to measure and remove the influences of predictable seasonal patterns to reveal change from month to month." Comparing year over year numbers, would not be impacted by trended seasonal adjustments. However, monthly trended changes would be impacted by seasonal changes. This looks at March 2021 to April 2021 changes and month over month changes for 2021. The March 2021 to April 2021 unadjusted vs seasonally adjusted changes are similar for the most part. Compare column 6 with column 9. This also points out that the adjusted changes are ramping up, except for energy. Wait until we see May's CPI numbers. Those may blow us out of the water. [ATTACH=full]205423[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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April 2021 CPI
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