The epidemiologist who produced the model of predictions for high death rate...

[nemesis]

...for the USA and Britain has changed his mind.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/epid...ed.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=63red

Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.

However.........

after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus

FYI.

 

[swampratt]

That to me is not changing his mind from his first thought Prediction.
Look how the first prediction is written.
In it it states "if no action is taken"

Now he basically redid the math because action was taken.
To me it is still some guy guessing.. we could all take a guess at how many jelly beans are in the jar.

 

[Cowcatcher]

This is gonna piss ZH smooth off!

 

[bigred1]

This is gonna piss ZH smooth off!

I know right. Especially since he spent all that imaginary money on all those imaginary preparations for his imaginary doomsday scenario.

 

[ignerntbend]

The Brits invented social distancing and shallow breathing.
That gives them a great advantage.

 

[Tanis143]

The Brits invented social distancing and shallow breathing.
That gives them a great advantage.

Russia is screwed, they have no idea what personal space is.

 

[Hobbes]

Before anyone gets all excited, the US has moved into first place in world wide total number of infections at 82,404.
1 week ago we had 13,000

This is our curve.... it's the steepest in the world right now.

If we don't bend the top of that curve we will have well over 400,000 total infections by this time next week.

 

[SMS]

Before anyone gets all excited, the US has moved into first place in world wide total number of infections at 82,404.
1 week ago we had 13,000

This is our curve.... it's the steepest in the world right now.

View attachment 157844

If we don't bend the top of that curve we will have well over 400,000 total infections by this time next week.

Steepest right now because the virus came into play here later than many other countries like China, Italy etc...

The curve is the steepest now, but it is the steepest in comparison to other countries when there were in the same phase as us?

 

[JD8]

Before anyone gets all excited, the US has moved into first place in world wide total number of infections at 82,404.
1 week ago we had 13,000

This is our curve.... it's the steepest in the world right now.

View attachment 157844

If we don't bend the top of that curve we will have well over 400,000 total infections by this time next week.

Before anyone gets excited, they expected this type of false curve because a higher number of people were to be tested AND results are coming in faster.

 

[Hobbes]

Steepest right now because the virus came into play here later than many other countries like China, Italy etc...

The curve is the steepest now, but it is the steepest in comparison to other countries when there were in the same phase as us?

I would like to find a graph that goes back farther but this is the only one I can find right now.