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The Water Cooler
General Discussion
02.26.2023 - A watch the weather day
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<blockquote data-quote="Chief Sapulpa" data-source="post: 3977933" data-attributes="member: 18458"><p>Hazardous Weather Outlook</p><p>Hazardous Weather Outlook</p><p>National Weather Service Tulsa OK</p><p>446 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023</p><p></p><p>ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271100-</p><p>Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-</p><p>Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-</p><p>Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-</p><p>Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-</p><p>Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-</p><p>Washington OK-Washington AR-</p><p>446 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023</p><p></p><p>This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as</p><p>much of Eastern Oklahoma.</p><p></p><p>...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...</p><p></p><p>.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.</p><p></p><p>TORNADO.</p><p>RISK...Elevated.</p><p> AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.</p><p> ONSET...After 8 PM.</p><p></p><p>SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.</p><p>RISK...Critical.</p><p>AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.</p><p>ONSET...After 8 PM.</p><p></p><p> AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NE OK along/north of I-44.</p><p></p><p>FLASH FLOOD.</p><p>RISK...Limited.</p><p>AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.</p><p>ONSET...After 8 PM.</p><p></p><p>HEAVY RAIN.</p><p>RISK...Limited.</p><p>AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.</p><p>ONSET...After 8 PM.</p><p></p><p>SIGNIFICANT WINDS.</p><p>RISK...Elevated.</p><p>AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.</p><p>ONSET...After 6 PM.</p><p></p><p>DISCUSSION...</p><p>A line of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to rapidly</p><p>sweep across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this evening</p><p>into the overnight hours. Wide swaths of damaging winds of 60 to</p><p>70 mph with locally higher gusts are the main threat, especially</p><p>along and north of I-44. Given the very strong low-level shear</p><p>that will be present, there will be some chance for tornadoes to</p><p>spin-up on the leading edge of the squall line, especially with</p><p>any portions of the line that can bow or surge to the northeast.</p><p>This tornado threat will be greatest roughly from I-44 northward</p><p>as well. Although storms should begin to weaken as the main</p><p>convective line moves into northwest Arkansas around midnight, a</p><p>few storms could still produce locally damaging winds or possibly</p><p>a spin-up tornado on the leading edge of the line.</p><p></p><p>Outside of the storms, a strong gradient wind is forecast as low</p><p>pressure strengthens over the Plains. Wind gusts between 40 and</p><p>50 mph will be possible at times this evening into the overnight</p><p>hours.</p><p></p><p>SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...</p><p>Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.</p><p></p><p>.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.</p><p>MONDAY AND TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.</p><p>WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.</p><p>THURSDAY...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.</p><p>FRIDAY...High Wind Potential.</p><p>SATURDAY...No Hazards.</p><p></p><p>EXTENDED DISCUSSION...</p><p>Gusty winds will develop in the wake of the storm system with</p><p>strong winds daily through early next week. Fire weather concerns</p><p>may increase with the persistent windy conditions.</p><p></p><p>Another strong storm system will shift into the southern Plains</p><p>Thursday into Friday with rain chances increasing, especially</p><p>across far southeast Oklahoma. Precipitation could transition to</p><p>a wintry mix Thursday night into Friday morning. Gusty winds will</p><p>also be likely with this system.</p><p></p><p>EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...</p><p>Emergency managers and first responders may need to respond to</p><p>thunderstorm wind damage or other severe weather impacts from</p><p>this storm system. Watches and warnings will likely be</p><p>required this evening into the overnight hours.</p><p></p><p>weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Chief Sapulpa, post: 3977933, member: 18458"] Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 446 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271100- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 446 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2023 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. ...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. ONSET...After 8 PM. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Critical. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. ONSET...After 8 PM. AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NE OK along/north of I-44. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...After 8 PM. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...After 8 PM. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. ONSET...After 6 PM. DISCUSSION... A line of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to rapidly sweep across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this evening into the overnight hours. Wide swaths of damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph with locally higher gusts are the main threat, especially along and north of I-44. Given the very strong low-level shear that will be present, there will be some chance for tornadoes to spin-up on the leading edge of the squall line, especially with any portions of the line that can bow or surge to the northeast. This tornado threat will be greatest roughly from I-44 northward as well. Although storms should begin to weaken as the main convective line moves into northwest Arkansas around midnight, a few storms could still produce locally damaging winds or possibly a spin-up tornado on the leading edge of the line. Outside of the storms, a strong gradient wind is forecast as low pressure strengthens over the Plains. Wind gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be possible at times this evening into the overnight hours. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...High Wind Potential. WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. THURSDAY...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. FRIDAY...High Wind Potential. SATURDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Gusty winds will develop in the wake of the storm system with strong winds daily through early next week. Fire weather concerns may increase with the persistent windy conditions. Another strong storm system will shift into the southern Plains Thursday into Friday with rain chances increasing, especially across far southeast Oklahoma. Precipitation could transition to a wintry mix Thursday night into Friday morning. Gusty winds will also be likely with this system. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT... Emergency managers and first responders may need to respond to thunderstorm wind damage or other severe weather impacts from this storm system. Watches and warnings will likely be required this evening into the overnight hours. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. [/QUOTE]
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