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The Water Cooler
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A 99% accurate medical test can be wrong half of the time.
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<blockquote data-quote="O4L" data-source="post: 3403027" data-attributes="member: 24429"><p>"The situation is worse in real life because no medical test is that accurate. Even 95% accuracy is excellent, yet in the above scenario a 95% test would produce 495 false positives – people told incorrectly that they had a deadly disease – for just 95 correct positives, an error rate of 4-to-1."</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="O4L, post: 3403027, member: 24429"] "The situation is worse in real life because no medical test is that accurate. Even 95% accuracy is excellent, yet in the above scenario a 95% test would produce 495 false positives – people told incorrectly that they had a deadly disease – for just 95 correct positives, an error rate of 4-to-1." [/QUOTE]
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The Water Cooler
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A 99% accurate medical test can be wrong half of the time.
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