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The Water Cooler
General Discussion
Breaking & Entering vs Being Hit By Tornado Statistics
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<blockquote data-quote="Dale00" data-source="post: 2102801" data-attributes="member: 688"><p>It is a great question. </p><p></p><p>I recall a meteorologist from OU stating, during a lecture on tornadoes, that a person would have to stand in one spot in Oklahoma for 2,000 years in order to be hit by one.</p><p></p><p>If correct, it means that the chances of being hit by a tornado each year is 1 / 2000 = 0.0005.... or 0.05% (5 one-hundredths of a percent)</p><p></p><p></p><p>A total of 29,579 residential burglaries in Oklahoma were reported in 2011. See 3-15 in <a href="http://www.ok.gov/osbi/documents/2011%20UCR%20Annual%20Report.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.ok.gov/osbi/documents/2011%20UCR%20Annual%20Report.pdf</a></p><p></p><p>There 1,432,735 households in Oklahoma. <a href="http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40000.html" target="_blank">http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40000.html</a></p><p></p><p>29579 burglaries per year / 1432735 households = 0.0206....so there is a 2.06% chance of being burglarized in a year.</p><p></p><p>2.06/0.05 = 41.2......<u>A person is 40 times more likely to have a break-in than to be hit by a tornado in Oklahoma</u>.</p><p></p><p>Burglaries are common and they don't usually make compelling news stories. So our perceptions are skewed.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dale00, post: 2102801, member: 688"] It is a great question. I recall a meteorologist from OU stating, during a lecture on tornadoes, that a person would have to stand in one spot in Oklahoma for 2,000 years in order to be hit by one. If correct, it means that the chances of being hit by a tornado each year is 1 / 2000 = 0.0005.... or 0.05% (5 one-hundredths of a percent) A total of 29,579 residential burglaries in Oklahoma were reported in 2011. See 3-15 in [URL="http://www.ok.gov/osbi/documents/2011%20UCR%20Annual%20Report.pdf"]http://www.ok.gov/osbi/documents/2011%20UCR%20Annual%20Report.pdf[/URL] There 1,432,735 households in Oklahoma. [URL="http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40000.html"]http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40000.html[/URL] 29579 burglaries per year / 1432735 households = 0.0206....so there is a 2.06% chance of being burglarized in a year. 2.06/0.05 = 41.2......[U]A person is 40 times more likely to have a break-in than to be hit by a tornado in Oklahoma[/U]. Burglaries are common and they don't usually make compelling news stories. So our perceptions are skewed. [/QUOTE]
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