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The Range
Handgun Discussion
Does anyone else on the board not like 1911's?
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<blockquote data-quote="inactive" data-source="post: 1227869" data-attributes="member: 7488"><p>This is absolutely correct. Things are certain only if they are in the past and then analyzed. Statistics are great tools to guess or speculate about future events, but they are never exact.</p><p></p><p>This is an extreme example, but a Jennings that had 1 FTE in its first magazine has experienced just as many failures as a Kimber (Or Glock for that matter) that had its first FTE on its 15,000th round.</p><p></p><p>Y'all may find <em><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Black_Swan_%28Taleb_book%29" target="_blank">The Black Swan</a></em> interesting if you want to read more about this kind of thing <img src="/images/smilies/smile.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":)" title="Smile :)" data-shortname=":)" /></p><p></p><p>The example he uses is that a turkey sees a 100% success rate in his 1,000 days of life living on a farm... until Thanksgiving. Then the previous 1,000 days are moot.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="inactive, post: 1227869, member: 7488"] This is absolutely correct. Things are certain only if they are in the past and then analyzed. Statistics are great tools to guess or speculate about future events, but they are never exact. This is an extreme example, but a Jennings that had 1 FTE in its first magazine has experienced just as many failures as a Kimber (Or Glock for that matter) that had its first FTE on its 15,000th round. Y'all may find [I][URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Black_Swan_%28Taleb_book%29"]The Black Swan[/URL][/I] interesting if you want to read more about this kind of thing :) The example he uses is that a turkey sees a 100% success rate in his 1,000 days of life living on a farm... until Thanksgiving. Then the previous 1,000 days are moot. [/QUOTE]
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Does anyone else on the board not like 1911's?
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