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The Water Cooler
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Dow - 26,000 - "Edit Next Stop 27,000"
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<blockquote data-quote="chadh2o" data-source="post: 3072953" data-attributes="member: 40131"><p>[ATTACH=full]112498[/ATTACH] Careful out there, no correction more that 1% in last 4 years. A lot of stocks will be cut in half during the bottom of the business cycle. Bonds are ending their 30 year move and forming a top, may take another year to complete. Recession hits when bonds invert, 5 yr rate more than 30 yr ect. We're getting close to flat. </p><p>30 yr long bond 2.84%. </p><p>10 year bond 2.55%. </p><p>5 yr is 2.37%.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]112499[/ATTACH] </p><p>The above 10 year chart is the 2 yr note. What happened 10 years ago? Oh yea, the stock market got cut in half.</p><p></p><p>Everything works on cycles. Inflation on its way. Refer to 1st pic. </p><p>Dollar index has moved from over 100 in Jan 2017 to 90.38 today Jan 2018, possibly headed to 80 over the next year or so. CRB index from 177 to 197 today. WTI 30 to 65, Natty 2.60 to 3.25, Copper up to 3.25 from 2.55 last year.</p><p>Fed gov shut down Friday over budget impass. **** always blows up over a weekend. Wonder why they scheduled the Fed to run out of money on a Friday? Why not Tuesday, Wednesday?</p><p>Not saying it's gonna happen, but this run is long in the tooth.</p><p>Bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="chadh2o, post: 3072953, member: 40131"] [ATTACH=full]112498[/ATTACH] Careful out there, no correction more that 1% in last 4 years. A lot of stocks will be cut in half during the bottom of the business cycle. Bonds are ending their 30 year move and forming a top, may take another year to complete. Recession hits when bonds invert, 5 yr rate more than 30 yr ect. We're getting close to flat. 30 yr long bond 2.84%. 10 year bond 2.55%. 5 yr is 2.37%. [ATTACH=full]112499[/ATTACH] The above 10 year chart is the 2 yr note. What happened 10 years ago? Oh yea, the stock market got cut in half. Everything works on cycles. Inflation on its way. Refer to 1st pic. Dollar index has moved from over 100 in Jan 2017 to 90.38 today Jan 2018, possibly headed to 80 over the next year or so. CRB index from 177 to 197 today. WTI 30 to 65, Natty 2.60 to 3.25, Copper up to 3.25 from 2.55 last year. Fed gov shut down Friday over budget impass. **** always blows up over a weekend. Wonder why they scheduled the Fed to run out of money on a Friday? Why not Tuesday, Wednesday? Not saying it's gonna happen, but this run is long in the tooth. Bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered. [/QUOTE]
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