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The Water Cooler
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War with China, 2025. Buckle up.
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<blockquote data-quote="Frederick" data-source="post: 3957386" data-attributes="member: 17825"><p>The Chinese haven't a prayer to seize taiwan...for now....</p><p></p><p>the numbers just don't add up...</p><p></p><p>Granted, neither the USA nor China could decisively defeat the other in a total war...China could give us a bloody nose, but they don't have the naval assets to successfully invade Taiwan. Taiwanese will fight savagely, and the geography of Taiwan makes invasion...complicated. There are only a few beaches suitable for a landing, all well known to the US and Taiwanese. There are only a few times a year that there is a window of opportunity for such landing, because of tidal situations... Taiwan is both very mountainous and urbanized...Unless Taiwan collapses completely within a few weeks(unlikely), USA will have plenty of time to respond...</p><p></p><p>and once the Chinese fail their invasion of Taiwan, they would be in a very vulnerable position indeed. China is surrounded by unfriendly nations and they are heavily reliant on imports of raw materials, and their economy is still predominately export-orientated. that means a US blockade of their vulnerable coast(where all their major cities are) would destroy the Chinese economy for decades....</p><p></p><p>But then again, a US incursion into the Chinese heartland would be foolish, so we could make them hurt but we couldn't decisively defeat them...</p><p></p><p>my opinion, is that if we're going to be defeated by the Chinese, it will be from within, not in a direct military confrontation that the Chinese will not risk unless they have a decisive advantage...</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Frederick, post: 3957386, member: 17825"] The Chinese haven't a prayer to seize taiwan...for now.... the numbers just don't add up... Granted, neither the USA nor China could decisively defeat the other in a total war...China could give us a bloody nose, but they don't have the naval assets to successfully invade Taiwan. Taiwanese will fight savagely, and the geography of Taiwan makes invasion...complicated. There are only a few beaches suitable for a landing, all well known to the US and Taiwanese. There are only a few times a year that there is a window of opportunity for such landing, because of tidal situations... Taiwan is both very mountainous and urbanized...Unless Taiwan collapses completely within a few weeks(unlikely), USA will have plenty of time to respond... and once the Chinese fail their invasion of Taiwan, they would be in a very vulnerable position indeed. China is surrounded by unfriendly nations and they are heavily reliant on imports of raw materials, and their economy is still predominately export-orientated. that means a US blockade of their vulnerable coast(where all their major cities are) would destroy the Chinese economy for decades.... But then again, a US incursion into the Chinese heartland would be foolish, so we could make them hurt but we couldn't decisively defeat them... my opinion, is that if we're going to be defeated by the Chinese, it will be from within, not in a direct military confrontation that the Chinese will not risk unless they have a decisive advantage... [/QUOTE]
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