That's a good question, and it has to be asked alongside its sister question: assuming, arguendo, the good effects, will the policy be in place long enough to actually show results, or will it be reversed with the next administration, resulting in short-term harm without any long-term gain?We can discuss the butterfly effect till the cows come home. The only valid question is whether the desired changes are worth the short term impacts. We don't (or at least shouldn't) make national policy on the effects to one industry, much less one company.
Will this policy substantially damage, or improve our long term trade?
That's a real-world question I've not heard addressed, let alone answered.