The odds of a gun grab as you describe are less than low, they are statistically 0.
However I have seen stories where a CC person has had their firearm taken from them during the course of a crime.
I'm not saying OC is the best thing for everyone, gotta do what you are comfortable with, but generally a criminal that sees someone carrying a firearm will move on to a softer target.
I can easily hold my tongue on the issue of open carry, but not on the abuse of probability.
The probability of a typical individual in a reasonably low-crime area being attacked at all is quite low--presumably even lower for those with a mindset to avoid being targeted. The probability of a gun-grab in an attack (whether concealed or openly carried) is therefore also quite low. But the fact that one is aware of multiple cases of such gun-grabs at all (via the limited sampling of events that make it into prominent news media, the sampling further reduced to those events which make it to one's awareness) is actually a statistical indication that, within the context of these unlikely attacks, gun-grabs happen with significant frequency.
Also, risk is not probability alone--the other component is the magnitude of the result. Since the result of losing one's gun to an attacker is likely death or severe injury, it is a risk the OP is probably wise to mitigate.
Last edited: