Official OSA COVID-19/Corona Virus Thread

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thor447

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Too bad Oklahoma just had its single largest daily case count increase.


The general public's apathy towards mask wearing and distancing while out and about will negate any shutdowns, and just spiral us further into a depression, it is all but certain now, and its mainly public at large whom's fault it is.


You certainly have the freedom to not wear masks, and utterly obliterate any economy we may have had hope in returning too. Good job.
I do not post this in an effort to try and argue with you about your opinions regarding wearing of masks, social distancing, and the economic downturn, etc., I just want to point out that although the case count posted for 5/21 was high, it wasn't the highest of any day, and that statements like that regarding the largest daily increase in covid cases should be viewed within the context of the data of our area.

Case count posted for 5/21 is 148. There are other dates that recorded higher daily confirmed cases:
4/1 - 154
4/2 - 160
4/4 - 171
4/9 - 160
5/16 - 151

There are several other dates in the 120-140 range, but still technically under 148. After seeing this, I thought that maybe I had not understood the statistic you were providing, and thought you meant it was the largest increase from one day to the next, and not necessarily the largest overall number. On 5/20, the posted number was 43, and with 148 on 5/21, the jump was 105 cases. While that's also an alarming number, there was a jump of 108 cases between 4/8 and 4/9 from 52 to 160. There are also several cases of jumps in the 80-90 range. I'm not posting all of this data for any sort of 'gotcha' or 'you're wrong' type of intent. Not in the slightest. My only aim was to provide a little context. While 148 cases is a lot of people, it's a drop in the bucket compared to other states. While a statement that OK has seen it single largest daily case count increase sounds like a damning statement, viewed within the context of the rest of the OK data, it isn't anything out of the ordinary. Generalized statements like that are easy to make when the data set is as small as ours. The total number for 5/21, as well as the jump from 5/20 to 5/21 isn't really alarming when looking at the data as a whole. Considering the increases in daily testing, I'm somewhat encouraged that the counts haven't gone up commensurate with the larger number people being tested. That would show that the infection rate is actually lowering.
 
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Dale00

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There are some indications that the worst places for the disease to be spread are indoor events at which there is shouting, singing or loud talking...... Researchers have been studying "super spreaders".
The factor scientists are closest to understanding is where COVID-19 clusters are likely to occur. “Clearly there is a much higher risk in enclosed spaces than outside,” Althaus says. Researchers in China studying the spread of the coronavirus outside Hubei province—ground zero for the pandemic—identified 318 clusters of three or more cases between 4 January and 11 February, only one of which originated outdoors. A study in Japan found that the risk of infection indoors is almost 19 times higher than outdoors. (Japan, which was hit early but has kept the epidemic under control, has built its COVID-19 strategy explicitly around avoiding clusters, advising citizens to avoid closed spaces and crowded conditions.)

Some situations may be particularly risky. Meatpacking plants are likely vulnerable because many people work closely together in spaces where low temperature helps the virus survive. But it may also be relevant that they tend to be loud places, Knight says. The report about the choir in Washington made her realize that one thing links numerous clusters: They happened in places where people shout or sing. And although Zumba classes have been connected to outbreaks, Pilates classes, which are not as intense, have not, Knight notes. “Maybe slow, gentle breathing is not a risk factor, but heavy, deep, or rapid breathing and shouting is.”

Probably about 10% of cases lead to 80% of the spread. - Adam Kucharski, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

Timing also plays a role. Emerging evidence suggests COVID-19 patients are most infectious for a short period of time. Entering a high-risk setting in that period may touch off a super spreading event, Kucharski says; “Two days later, that person could behave in the same way and you wouldn’t see the same outcome.”
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/202...ny-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all
 

BobbyV

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KOPBET

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Too bad Oklahoma just had its single largest daily case count increase.


The general public's apathy towards mask wearing and distancing while out and about will negate any shutdowns, and just spiral us further into a depression, it is all but certain now, and its mainly public at large whom's fault it is.


You certainly have the freedom to not wear masks, and utterly obliterate any economy we may have had hope in returning too. Good job.

 

BobbyV

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